TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.5b

24H VOL:

$271,200,656

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,922,627,141

420,368

Markets across

40,352

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,484

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Texas State vs. San Diego State
kalshi
polymarket

What is the result of Texas State vs. San Diego State?

Volume:
$1,031,432

O/U 57.5

 - Polymarket

O/U 57.5 - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 11, 2026

Closed: Oct 4, 2:16 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

O/U 57.5

View
100%
50%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$28,938
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 51.5

View
100%
36%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$17,429
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 45.5

View
100%
22%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$11,827
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1H Moneyline

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$5,571
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 59.5

View
100%
55%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$3,509
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 53.5

View
100%
39%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$3,066
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Over 19.5 points

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$3,052
N/A
N/A
$1,935
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Over 16.5 points

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,753
N/A
N/A
$1,713
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Over 13.5 points

View
100%
8%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,572
N/A
N/A
$1,572
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -1.5

View
100%
77%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,198
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 55.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,151
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Over 2.5 points

View
100%
3%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$786
N/A
N/A
$786
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Over 6.5 points

View
100%
3%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$406
N/A
N/A
$406
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Over 9.5 points

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$405
N/A
N/A
$405
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 39.5

View
100%
13%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$299
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 49.5

View
100%
30%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$40
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1H Spread -5.5

View
100%
49%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$10
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

4Q O/U 10.5

View
100%
6%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Texas State vs. San Diego State

View
0%
76%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$696,947
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Spread -8.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$89,119
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Over 29.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$46,597
N/A
N/A
$31,432
Settled
No
kalshi

Over 30.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$18,778
N/A
N/A
$17,147
Settled
No
kalshi

Over 20.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$12,225
N/A
N/A
$7,345
Settled
No
kalshi

Over 23.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$9,441
N/A
N/A
$5,204
Settled
No
polymarket

Spread -17.5

View
0%
30%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$8,395
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 231

Intro

This market tracks whether a pick-six—an interception returned for a touchdown—will be scored in the Texas State versus San Diego State college football game. Currently, the consensus probability of a pick-six being scored is 100.0%. This prediction is an aggregation of views from Kalshi and Polymarket, and will resolve based on final, official game results as reported by NCAA.com. Keep an eye on the game itself, as resolution is tied to the completion of the game on October 4, 2026.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: The markets diverge in scope, with Polymarket focusing on overall game outcomes and Kalshi focusing on first-half statistics. Resolution timing also differs.Hero tip: Treat Polymarket and Kalshi markets as separate predictions due to their differing focuses and resolution criteria. Pay close attention to the specific timeframe (first half for Kalshi) and the metric being measured.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolves based on the final outcome of the game (win/loss/spread) or total points scored, using official NCAA.com data. Includes rules for ties (50-50 split) and cancellations (50-50 split or postponement until completion).
  • Kalshi: Resolves based on whether the combined points scored by both teams in the *first half* exceeds a specified threshold. The market is purely statistical and focused on the first half of the game.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming college football game between Texas State and San Diego State, scheduled for October 3 at 10:30PM ET: This market will resolve to "Texas State" if Texas State win the game. This market will resolve to "San Diego State" if San Diego State win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based on the total points scored by both teams during the first half of the Texas State vs San Diego State college football game scheduled for October 3, 2026. Each market has a unique threshold, and if the combined score exceeds that threshold, the market resolves to 'Yes.' If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the markets remain open and resolve based on the official result. If the game does not start within 48 hours, all markets resolve to a fair price. Only points scored in the first half count toward resolution.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Kalshi, this dashboard tracks the consensus view of the outcome for the college football matchup between Texas State and San Diego State. Currently, the combined volume across both platforms is $1,031,432, with $94,099 traded in the last 24 hours. This allows traders to see how the market is pricing the probability of different outcomes. The dashboard aggregates data from both venues to provide a comprehensive overview of predictions for this event, offering a single place to monitor the evolving expectations surrounding the game’s result.

Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows traders to openly express their beliefs, leading to odds that can diverge from those offered elsewhere. These differences can arise from varying information access, analytical approaches, and the incentive structures of each venue. Examining both sets of odds can be a valuable exercise for informed decision-making.