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$154.3b

24H VOL:

$228,458,490

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2,984,028,936

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$1,879,276,037

410,833

Markets across

40,345

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MATCHED EVENTS:

4,363

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Texas State vs. Boise State
polymarket
kalshi

What is the result of Texas State vs. Boise State?

Volume:
$14,224,695

Boise St.

 - Kalshi

Boise St. - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Nov 1, 2026

Closed: Nov 1, 1:09 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Boise St.

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$7,323,863
N/A
N/A
$2,864,570
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 63.5

View
100%
50%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$231,916
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 65.5

View
100%
56%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$42,703
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 59.5

View
100%
40%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$14,748
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 53.5

View
100%
27%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$4,382
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 47.5

View
100%
16%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$4,204
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 61.5

View
100%
45%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,632
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1H Spread -6.5

View
100%
48%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,845
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 71.5

View
100%
68%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,687
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 67.5

View
100%
59%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,619
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1H O/U 30.5

View
100%
46%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,595
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1H O/U 27.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,049
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

3Q O/U 13.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$173
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

3Q O/U 16.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$77
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Boise State O/U 29.5

View
100%
23%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$50
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1H Spread -7.5

View
100%
56%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$50
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

3Q O/U 7.5

View
100%
36%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$11
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 73.5

View
100%
70%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Texas St.

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,139,101
N/A
N/A
$2,962,297
Settled
No
polymarket

Texas State vs. Boise State

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$268,771
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Spread -10.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$65,860
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Spread -14.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$37,978
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Spread -20.5

View
0%
29%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$24,710
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Spread -11.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$12,185
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Spread -13.5

View
0%
44%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10,602
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 217

Intro

This market tracks the probability of Boise State’s second-half team total exceeding 16.5 points in their upcoming college football game against Texas State. Currently, the aggregated consensus across Polymarket and Kalshi gives a 100.0% probability to this outcome. Resolution will be based on the official results reported by https://www.ncaa.com/. Keep an eye on the game itself, scheduled for October 31st, as the final score will determine the outcome of this market.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi's resolution criteria is overly broad, resolving 'Yes' regardless of the winner, while Polymarket requires correctly predicting the winning team.Hero tip: Consider the implied probability of a game occurring versus correctly predicting the winner. Kalshi's market will likely have a higher probability of resolving 'Yes' but a lower payout.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Resolves to 'Yes' if either Texas State or Boise State wins the game. "If Boise St. wins the Texas St. vs Boise St. college football game originally scheduled for Oct 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Texas St. wins the Texas St. vs Boise St. college football game originally scheduled for Oct 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes."
  • Polymarket: Resolves to 'Texas State' if Texas State wins, or 'Boise State' if Boise State wins. "This market will resolve to "Texas State" if Texas State win the game. This market will resolve to "Boise State" if Boise State win the game."
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming college football game between Texas State and Boise State, scheduled for October 31 at 10:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Texas State" if Texas State win the game. This market will resolve to "Boise State" if Boise State win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Kalshi

The market resolves to Yes if the specified team wins the Texas St. vs Boise St. college football game originally scheduled for Oct 31, 2026. If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market remains open and resolves based on the official final result. If the game is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, the market resolves to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated with the NCAA, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Kalshi, this dashboard aggregates real-time predictions on the outcome of the Texas State vs. Boise State game. Currently, the combined volume across both platforms is $14,224,695, with $14,195,092 traded in the last 24 hours. This allows for a consensus view of the probability of various outcomes, reflecting the wisdom of the crowd. The dashboard tracks how these probabilities shift as new information becomes available, providing a dynamic assessment of the game's potential results. It’s a central hub for understanding market sentiment surrounding this matchup.

Prediction market odds, like those reflected in this market, often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the nature of how they are determined. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while prediction markets are driven by the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. This can lead to prediction markets being more efficient in their pricing, especially as more information becomes available. Furthermore, prediction markets allow participants to take both sides of a bet, unlike many sportsbooks, impacting the overall price discovery process.

Prices for the Texas State vs. Boise State game may differ between Polymarket and Kalshi due to variations in trader demographics, market design, and liquidity. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform attracts a different pool of participants with varying risk appetites and predictive insights, influencing price discovery. Furthermore, the specific contract structures and fee schedules on each platform can contribute to price discrepancies. Differences in trading volume—Polymarket currently has a volume of $14,224,695—can also lead to temporary price divergences as markets react to new information at different speeds.