TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 3, 11:18 PM EST
Kalshi
This market assesses various thresholds of points scored in the first quarter of a college football game between Texas State and San Diego State. It allows participants to speculate on whether the combined score will exceed specific point totals at the end of the first quarter.
The market resolves based on the total points scored by both teams during the first quarter of the Texas State versus San Diego State college football game scheduled for October 3, 2026. Each market corresponds to a different point threshold, and the outcome is determined by whether the combined score exceeds that threshold. Only points scored in the first quarter count toward resolution. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of the original start time, the market remains active and resolves based on the official result. If the game does not start within 48 hours of the scheduled time, the market resolves to a fair price. Kalshi explicitly states it is not affiliated with the NCAA, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Often, prediction market odds offer a distinct perspective compared to traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish lines based on their own models and incorporate a profit margin, while this market reflects the collective wisdom of traders. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, risk assessments, or simply varying opinions on team performance. If you find a significant difference between the implied probability here and sportsbook odds, it could signal an opportunity for informed trading, reflecting where the crowd disagrees with conventional wisdom about the Texas St. vs San Diego St. 1st quarter.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score of the first quarter of the Texas St. vs San Diego St. game will be used to determine whether the total points scored fall above or below the threshold defined by the contracts traded. The resolution will be based on official game statistics, ensuring a transparent and objective outcome. Traders will then be paid out based on whether their contracts align with the actual result.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Late-breaking news regarding key player injuries for either Texas St. or San Diego St. would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they favor one team's style of play, could also shift expectations. Even public sentiment, as reflected in social media or expert analysis, can impact trading decisions. Any information that alters perceptions of the teams' relative strengths or the likely game flow has the potential to move this market before the Texas St. vs San Diego St. 1st quarter concludes.