TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 12:51 AM EST
Kalshi
This market focuses on determining which team will score more points specifically in the third quarter of an upcoming college football game between Texas State and Boise State. It highlights the importance of short-term performance over the full game duration, offering a snapshot of competitive momentum at a specific interval.
The market resolves based on which team scores more points during the third quarter of the Texas State vs. Boise State college football game scheduled for October 31, 2026. If either Texas State or Boise State has a higher point total in that quarter, the respective market will resolve to Yes. If both teams score the same number of points, the Tie market resolves to Yes. Postponements that commence within 48 hours of the original start time will not affect resolution, which will instead be based on the official result once the game begins. Should the game fail to start within the 48-hour window, the market will resolve to a fair price. Points counted strictly reflect those scored during the third quarter only, and Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the NCAA.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on models and expert analysis, while this market aggregates the views of many individuals with skin in the game. It’s common to see differences, especially before significant events or breaking news. These differences can arise from varying information access or differing interpretations of the same information. Examining both can provide a more well-rounded understanding of the likely outcome.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing each possible outcome – in this case, either Texas St. or Boise St. winning the 3rd quarter. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust dynamically, providing a real-time assessment of the event's potential results. The current price indicates what it costs to hold a contract that pays out if that outcome wins.
This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The winning team of the 3rd quarter in the Texas St. vs Boise St. game will determine the winning contract. The final score and quarter-by-quarter results will be used to verify the outcome. This ensures a transparent and objective resolution process. All trading will cease once the official results are available, and payouts will be distributed to contract holders accordingly.
Several factors could influence trading in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in coaching strategies, or even weather conditions could shift expectations and impact the price of contracts. Unexpected performance in the first half of the game would likely cause significant movement. Public sentiment, reflected in social media or expert analysis, can also play a role. Major upsets in other games involving these teams could indirectly affect confidence levels, leading to shifts in volume and price. Monitoring these signals can help you understand potential market movements.