TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 31, 11:47 PM EST
Kalshi
This market focuses on predicting the outcome of a specific segment of a college football game between Texas State and Boise State, specifically analyzing the point differential in the second quarter. It allows participants to speculate on which team will dominate that particular period of play.
The markets resolve based on the point differential between Texas State and Boise State exclusively during the second quarter of their game scheduled for October 31, 2026. Each market corresponds to a specific point threshold, with varying margins of victory required for either team to trigger a 'Yes' outcome. For instance, markets specify whether Boise State wins by more than 10.5, 7.5, 6.5, 3.5, or 2.5 points, or whether Texas State wins by more than 2.5, 3.5, 6.5, 7.5, or 10.5 points in that quarter. Only points scored during the second quarter count toward resolution. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of the original start time, the markets remain active and resolve based on the official result. If the game does not start within 48 hours of its scheduled time, the markets will resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants under these conditions.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbook odds are typically set by a small team of experts, while this market aggregates opinions from many individuals. It's common to see differences emerge, particularly as new information becomes available or public sentiment shifts. Comparing this market to sportsbook lines can be a useful exercise for informed decision-making, but remember that each represents a distinct form of forecasting.
This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final point spread for the second quarter of the Texas St. vs Boise St. game will be used to determine which contracts pay out. The resolution will be based on the official game statistics, ensuring an objective and transparent outcome. Traders will be able to view the resolution details on Kalshi following the conclusion of the game and verification of the results.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market before resolution. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Texas St. or Boise St. teams would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they are expected to affect the game’s conditions, could also shift expectations. Additionally, any late-breaking news about team strategies or coaching decisions could cause traders to reassess their positions, leading to fluctuations in the price of contracts within this market.