TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 31, 10:48 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the combined scoring performance of Texas State and Boise State during the first quarter of their college football matchup. Participants predict whether the teams will exceed various point thresholds within that specific timeframe.
All markets resolve based on the total points scored by both teams combined during the first quarter of the Texas State vs Boise State college football game scheduled for October 31, 2026. Each market has a different threshold, ranging from over 2.5 points to over 27.5 points. If the cumulative points exceed the specified threshold for a given market, it resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. For postponements, if the game starts within 48 hours of the original time, the market remains open and resolves based on the actual result. If the game does not start within 48 hours, the market resolves to a fair price. Only points scored in the first quarter count, and Kalshi explicitly states it is not affiliated with the NCAA.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about whether the total points scored in the first quarter of the Texas St. vs Boise St. game will be over or under the specified threshold. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of these contracts fluctuates based on supply and demand, with higher prices indicating a greater probability of the 'Over' outcome. The current price reflects the aggregated assessment of all traders on Kalshi and represents their collective forecast for the game’s first quarter scoring total.
This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score of the first quarter of the Texas St. vs Boise St. game will be used to determine whether the total points scored were over or under the threshold established by the market. The market will settle based on the official game statistics, ensuring a transparent and verifiable result. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will receive a payout based on the final contract price.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding key player injuries for either Texas St. or Boise St. would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to affect scoring, could also move the market. Furthermore, late-breaking news about team strategy or coaching decisions could shift trader sentiment. Public perception and analysis from sports commentators could also play a role, as traders react to new information and adjust their predictions accordingly.