TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 31, 10:48 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks various point spreads for the first quarter of a college football game between Texas State and Boise State. It focuses on how much one team outscores the other in the initial 15 minutes of play, with different thresholds defining various outcomes.
All markets resolve based solely on points scored during the first quarter of the Texas State vs Boise State college football game scheduled for October 31, 2026. A 'Yes' outcome occurs when the winning team exceeds the specified point spread margin within that timeframe. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of the original kickoff, all markets remain active and resolve according to the actual first-quarter result. Should the game fail to start within this 48-hour window, all markets settle at a fair price, determined independently of the eventual game outcome. Each market features a different point differential threshold, creating multiple possible 'Yes' resolutions depending on the exact margin of victory in the first quarter.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to trade based on their own insights. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. Comparing this market to sportsbook lines can reveal where the crowd believes there is value or mispricing relative to the professionals, offering a potentially different perspective on the likely outcome.
This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the actual point spread achieved in the first quarter of the Texas St. vs Boise St. game. The final spread will be determined by official game statistics, and the contracts will pay out based on whether the actual spread falls within the ranges offered on Kalshi. Traders will be able to see the final result and any associated payouts shortly after the game concludes.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the game concludes. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Texas St. or Boise St. teams would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they are expected to affect the game’s conditions, could also shift the market. Furthermore, any late-breaking news about team strategies or coaching decisions might cause traders to reassess their positions, leading to price fluctuations in this market. Public sentiment and betting trends could also play a role.