TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 3, 9:30 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets track how decisively Florida Atlantic might win against Texas Southern in an upcoming college football game. Each outcome represents a different margin of victory required for Florida Atlantic to satisfy that specific market condition.
All markets resolve based on the official point differential from the Texas Southern vs Florida Atlantic college football game scheduled for October 3, 2026. For any market, if Florida Atlantic's victory exceeds the specified point threshold, that market resolves to 'Yes.' If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original start time, all markets remain active and resolve according to the final result. Should the game fail to start within this 48-hour window, all markets resolve at a fair price, reflecting an equitable assessment of outcomes given the circumstances. Kalshi explicitly disclaims any formal affiliation with the NCAA, and all team-related trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect information and opinions beyond those considered by traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often set lines to balance betting action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market aggregates the collective wisdom of many traders. It's common to see this market move differently than sportsbook odds, especially as new information becomes available or public sentiment shifts. However, both attempt to predict the same underlying event, and discrepancies can sometimes present opportunities for arbitrage.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different spread outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market’s assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the prices adjust, providing a dynamic and real-time estimate of the likely result. The market depth indicates how much volume is available at different price points, influencing how easily prices can move.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final spread will be determined by the actual point difference between the Texas Southern and Florida Atlantic scores at the end of the game. The market will then pay out to those who correctly predicted whether the actual spread would be above or below the threshold represented by their purchased contracts.
Several factors could influence this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either team would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they impact playing conditions, could also shift the odds. Public perception, influenced by expert analysis or social media discussion, can also play a role. Finally, as the game approaches, any late-breaking news or strategic adjustments announced by the coaches could lead to shifts in the market as traders react to the latest information.