TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 10, 3:37 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets track the scoring performance of Missouri and Texas A&M in their college football matchup, offering various thresholds for points scored by each team. Outcomes depend on whether each team's actual points exceed specific benchmarks.
All markets resolve based on the official final score of the Texas A&M vs Missouri college football game scheduled for October 10, 2026. For each market, if the specified team scores more than the stated point threshold, the market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of the original start time, the markets remain open and resolve according to the final result. If the game does not start within 48 hours of the scheduled time, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of the specific point threshold chosen.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines due to the influence of public opinion and information aggregation. Sportsbooks initially set lines based on their own analysis, but these can shift based on betting action. This market, like others, may show discrepancies with sportsbook odds as traders incorporate various factors—injuries, weather, and even subtle news—into their predictions. Over time, the two sets of odds tend to converge as the event draws nearer, though prediction markets can sometimes offer more accurate forecasts, particularly when significant new information emerges.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction, meaning traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes (over or under a specific point total for each team). The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the collective intelligence of the crowd. Currently, the most actively traded outcome is Missouri over 20.5 points scored, demonstrating where a significant portion of the market’s volume is concentrated. The market dynamically adjusts based on supply and demand.
This market resolves around Oct 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final team totals from the Texas A&M vs Missouri game are verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official scoring data released by the governing body of college football. The market will determine which side—the over or under for each team—accurately predicted the final point totals. Traders holding contracts on the correct outcome will receive a payout, while those on the incorrect side will forfeit their stake. The resolution process ensures a transparent and objective determination of the results.
Several factors could significantly impact this market before it resolves. Any news regarding key player injuries for either Texas A&M or Missouri would likely cause price adjustments, as would changes in weather forecasts that could affect the game's scoring potential. Unexpected coaching decisions or significant shifts in team strategy could also influence trader sentiment. Furthermore, late-breaking news about team morale or internal conflicts could play a role. Even public perception, fueled by media coverage and social media discussions, can contribute to price movements in this market as traders react to new information and adjust their predictions.