TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 10, 3:40 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether Missouri will win the college football game against Texas A&M by more than 1.5 points. Currently, Kalshi gives a 91.0% probability to Missouri winning by over 1.5 points. The market resolves based on the outcome of the Texas A&M vs Missouri game originally scheduled for October 10, 2026, as reported by the game’s official results. Keep a close watch on the game itself on October 10, 2026, as the final score will determine the market’s resolution.
All markets resolve based on the official final result of the Texas A&M vs Missouri college football game scheduled for Oct 10, 2026. For markets predicting Missouri's victory, resolution occurs if Missouri wins by exceeding the specified point margin. Conversely, markets predicting Texas A&M's victory resolve if Texas A&M wins by more than the stated margin. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of the original start time, all markets remain active and resolve according to the final result. Should the game fail to start within this 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants under these contingency conditions.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action, while this market’s pricing is driven purely by individuals willing to buy or sell contracts based on their own analysis. If a significant number of traders believe the sportsbook line is inaccurate, the price of contracts in this market will move accordingly. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public opinion shifts closer to the game date. This can create opportunities for informed traders.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different point spreads for the Texas A&M vs Missouri game. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that spread being the final result. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as profitable trades are rewarded. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price adjusts to reflect the collective assessment of the likely outcome. The market dynamically adjusts based on supply and demand for each contract.
This market resolves around Oct 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final point spread will be determined by the official result of the Texas A&M vs Missouri football game, as reported by a major sports data provider. The market will settle to 100 if the actual spread falls within the range of contracts offered, and to 0 for contracts on the losing side. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct spread will receive a payout of $100 per contract.
Several factors could influence the price of contracts in this market. News regarding injuries to key players on either the Texas A&M or Missouri teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if severe weather is expected during the game, could also impact the spread. Public sentiment, reflected in polls or expert analysis, can also play a role, as can any major upsets in other college football games that might affect perceptions of team strength. Unexpected coaching decisions or strategic shifts announced before the game could also move this market.