TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 10, 12:57 PM EST
Kalshi
This market focuses on predicting which team will score the first touchdown in an upcoming college football game. It includes scenarios where either team scores first or if no touchdown is scored at all during the game, including any overtime periods. The outcome depends purely on the game's live progression and scoring events.
The market determines which team scores the first touchdown in the Texas A&M vs Missouri college football game scheduled for October 10, 2026, with three possible outcomes: Missouri scores first, Texas A&M scores first, or no team scores a touchdown at all. All types of touchdowns—offensive, defensive, and special teams—are counted, including those scored in overtime. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the market remains active and resolves based on the final result. If the game does not start within 48 hours, the market resolves to a fair price. Kalshi clarifies that it is not affiliated with the NCAA, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market relies on individuals freely trading based on their beliefs. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public opinion shifts. These differences can present opportunities for informed traders who believe the market is mispricing the probability of a particular outcome. Analyzing these differences can be a valuable component of your research.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of each team scoring first. The price of a contract directly reflects the market’s assessment of that outcome’s likelihood; a higher price indicates a greater perceived chance of success. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders adjust their bids and asks based on new information, analysis, and their own risk tolerance, leading to dynamic price fluctuations. The market aggregates these individual assessments into a collective forecast, offering a unique perspective on the event’s potential outcome.
This market resolves around Oct 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the market will determine which team scores the first touchdown in the Texas A&M vs Missouri game. The result will be based on official game statistics and play-by-play data. The resolution process aims to provide a clear and objective determination of the winning outcome, based on established game rules and widely accepted sources of information. Any disputes will be handled according to Kalshi’s market rules.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. News regarding key player injuries for either the Texas A&M or Missouri teams would likely cause significant shifts in the odds. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest conditions favoring one team’s offensive style, could also impact prices. Unexpected announcements about coaching strategies or team formations might also prompt traders to reassess their positions. Even general sentiment and media coverage leading up to the game can contribute to market movements, as traders react to evolving narratives and expectations.