TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
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2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 10, 3:55 PM EST
Kalshi
This market focuses on determining which team will score more points in the final quarter of a college football game between Texas A&M and Missouri. It reflects the competitive dynamics of the game's closing moments, offering insight into potential momentum shifts. The outcome depends solely on 4th quarter performance, excluding any overtime periods.
If Missouri wins the 4th quarter (excluding overtime) of the Texas A&M vs Missouri college football game originally scheduled for Oct 10, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Texas A&M wins the 4th quarter (excluding overtime) of the Texas A&M vs Missouri college football game originally scheduled for Oct 10, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If neither team wins the 4th quarter (excluding overtime) of the Texas A&M vs Missouri college football game originally scheduled for Oct 10, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often proving more accurate than traditional sportsbook odds, especially as an event nears. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and to balance action, while this market aggregates the insights of many individual traders. However, differences can emerge due to varying levels of information and differing motivations. It’s common to see initial discrepancies that narrow as more information becomes available and trading volume increases, but this market offers a unique perspective based on collective forecasting.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about which team will win the 4th quarter. As more people buy contracts for a particular outcome, the price of that outcome increases, reflecting a higher probability. Conversely, selling contracts lowers the price. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price represents the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust expectations.
This market resolves around Oct 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the winner of the 4th quarter of the Texas A&M vs Missouri game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official game results as reported by a trusted sports data source. The market will then settle, and traders will receive payouts based on their positions at the time of resolution. It's important to monitor the event closely as the resolution date approaches to understand potential influencing factors.
Several signals could significantly move this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or changes to the starting lineup for either Texas A&M or Missouri would likely impact trading activity. Game-day weather conditions, especially if they are severe, could also play a role. Furthermore, in-game performance during the first three quarters – such as a dominant showing by one team or unexpected strategic shifts – will undoubtedly influence traders’ assessments and shift the odds. Unexpected coaching decisions or significant penalties could also be catalysts for movement in this market.