TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$260,393,102
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,894,304,386
408,643
Markets across
39,771
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,493
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 10, 2:43 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on predicting the margin of victory for either Texas A&M or Missouri specifically within the third quarter of their college football matchup. Each market corresponds to a different point differential threshold that must be exceeded by the winning team during that quarter alone.
These markets resolve based on the point differential between Texas A&M and Missouri exclusively during the third quarter of play in their college football game scheduled for October 10, 2026. For any market to resolve as 'Yes,' the specified team must win the third quarter by more than the stated point margin. All markets exclusively consider points scored during the third quarter, disregarding any points from other quarters. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original scheduled start time, the markets remain active and resolve according to the official final result of that specific quarter. Should the game fail to start within the 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of game timing or outcome beyond the third quarter.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from those offered by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. These differences can stem from varying levels of information, biases, or simply different interpretations of the same data. It's common to see this market incorporate information faster than traditional odds, potentially leading to more accurate predictions as the event approaches.
This market resolves around Oct 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final third-quarter spread of the Texas A&M vs Missouri game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result as reported by a trusted sports data provider. Traders holding contracts on the winning side will receive a payout, while those on the losing side will forfeit their stake. The exact payout amount depends on the price of the contract at the time of resolution.
Several factors could influence this market before the game concludes. News regarding key player injuries for either Texas A&M or Missouri would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest adverse conditions impacting the passing or running game, could also shift the spread. Unexpected announcements about coaching strategies or team morale might also play a role. Even significant betting patterns in traditional sportsbooks could influence traders on Kalshi, leading to adjustments in the price of contracts.