TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.1b
24H VOL:
$172,394,893
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,983,476,643
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,821,572,886
404,136
Markets across
40,075
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,369
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 10, 4:06 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets focus on predicting the margin of victory for either Texas A&M or Missouri in the second half of their college football matchup, including any overtime periods. Each market corresponds to a specific point differential threshold that must be exceeded for the bet to succeed.
All markets resolve based solely on points scored during the second half (including overtime) of the Texas A&M vs Missouri college football game scheduled for October 10, 2026. For markets where Missouri is the favored team, resolution occurs if Missouri wins the second half by more than the specified point margin. Conversely, markets favoring Texas A&M resolve if Texas A&M wins the second half by more than the designated margin. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original scheduled start time, all markets remain active and resolve according to the final official result of that game. Should the game fail to start within the 48-hour window, all markets will resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of the specific point differential thresholds listed.
Generally, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often aligning with but sometimes diverging from traditional sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set initial odds based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market incorporates a broader range of information and perspectives from traders. If there's a significant difference, it could indicate that prediction market participants believe the sportsbook is undervaluing or overvaluing a particular outcome. It's common to see the market adjust as new information becomes available, potentially leading to a convergence or continued divergence from sportsbook odds.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different point spreads for the second half of the Texas A&M vs Missouri game. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that spread occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to offer accurate predictions, as profitable trades depend on correctly anticipating the outcome. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the price of these contracts will fluctuate, providing a real-time assessment of the likely spread.
This market resolves around Oct 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final point spread for the second half of the Texas A&M vs Missouri game will be determined by official game statistics. The market will then settle to 100 for the winning contract – the spread that ultimately occurs. All contracts for losing spreads will settle to 0. Traders holding the winning contract will receive a payout based on the contract's price at the time of purchase.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Texas A&M or Missouri teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to impact the game's style of play, could also affect predictions. In-game performance during the first half, such as a dominant offensive showing by one team, would likely lead to adjustments in the market. Finally, large trading volume from informed participants could also signal a shift in expectations and move the price.