TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 10, 1:42 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks various scoring thresholds for the first half of a college football game between Texas A&M and Missouri. Each threshold represents a different point total that, if exceeded by both teams combined, determines the outcome of that specific market.
All markets resolve based on the total points scored by both teams during the first half of the Texas A&M vs Missouri college football game scheduled for October 10, 2026. For each market, if the combined score exceeds the specified threshold (e.g., 2.5, 6.5, 9.5 points, etc.), the market resolves to 'Yes.' If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the result is based on the official score when played. If the game does not start within 48 hours, all markets resolve to a fair price. Only points from the first half count toward resolution, and Kalshi disclaims any affiliation with the NCAA.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and need to account for profit margins, while this market is driven purely by traders' beliefs. If a significant number of people believe the actual first half total will be higher or lower than the sportsbook's line, the price in this market will move accordingly. It's common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts closer to game time.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about whether the first half total will be over or under a certain number. The price of these contracts reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This means the price fluctuates based on supply and demand, with buyers driving the price up and sellers driving it down, creating a dynamic representation of collective expectations for the game.
This market resolves around Oct 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official first half total for the Texas A&M vs Missouri game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official score reported by the governing body of college football. Traders will then be paid out based on whether their contracts align with the actual first half total. The final price on Kalshi will determine the payout for those holding contracts.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either Texas A&M or Missouri would likely cause significant movement. Changes in the weather forecast, particularly if it's expected to be windy or rainy, could also affect scoring expectations. Late-breaking news about team strategy or coaching decisions could also play a role. Even significant public betting patterns in sportsbooks could indirectly influence traders' behavior on Kalshi, leading to price adjustments.