TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 24, 7:19 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the performance of two college football teams in a specific game, focusing on how many yards they gain through receptions. Bettors can speculate on whether each team will meet or exceed certain receiving yard thresholds during the match.
All markets resolve based on the official receiving yards accumulated by either Alabama or Texas A&M in the game scheduled for October 24, 2026. Receiving yards from both regular and overtime periods count, but successful two-point conversions do not contribute. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, markets remain open and resolve according to the final result. If the game does not start within 48 hours, markets resolve to a fair price. Each market has a specific threshold; if a team meets or exceeds its respective threshold, that market resolves to Yes, otherwise No.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines which are set by oddsmakers. Sportsbooks may incorporate biases or attempt to balance their risk, while this market aggregates the diverse perspectives of many traders. As more information becomes available – such as injury reports or weather forecasts – both prediction market prices and sportsbook odds will adjust. However, prediction markets often become more accurate closer to the event, potentially offering a more refined probability assessment than traditional betting venues.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing different receiving yardage ranges for the Texas A&M vs Alabama game. The price of each contract reflects the market's collective belief about the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices converge to reflect the aggregated forecast. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Price movements are driven by supply and demand; if many traders believe a particular yardage range is likely, they'll bid up the price of contracts representing that range, and vice versa.
This market resolves around Oct 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official receiving yardage totals from the Texas A&M vs Alabama game are verifiable from credible public reporting. The final receiving yardage total, as reported by official sources, will determine which contracts pay out and at what value. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the actual receiving yardage range will receive a payout based on the market's pricing at the time of resolution. The exact payout will depend on the specific contract purchased.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding the key wide receivers or quarterbacks for either Texas A&M or Alabama – such as injuries, changes in playing time, or performance in practice – would likely cause price fluctuations. Weather conditions on game day, particularly wind or rain, could also influence passing yardage and therefore shift the market. Finally, any significant shifts in public perception or expert analysis regarding the teams' offensive strategies could drive trading activity and alter the probabilities reflected in this market.