TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 24, 6:20 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks which team will score more points in the third quarter of a college football game between Texas A&M and Alabama. It focuses solely on the performance during that specific quarter, ignoring the overall game result. The outcome depends entirely on the points scored by each team between the 15-minute mark of the second quarter and halftime, or the start of the fourth quarter.
If Alabama wins the 3rd quarter of the Texas A&M vs Alabama college football game originally scheduled for Oct 24, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Texas A&M wins the 3rd quarter of the Texas A&M vs Alabama college football game originally scheduled for Oct 24, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If neither team wins the 3rd quarter of the Texas A&M vs Alabama college football game originally scheduled for Oct 24, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action, while this market allows traders to freely adjust probabilities based on their own analysis and information. If a significant discrepancy exists, it may suggest that the market perceives information differently than sportsbooks, or that one venue has a stronger understanding of the event's potential outcomes. It’s common to see the market odds converge with sportsbook odds as the event approaches, though differences can persist.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction, meaning traders buy and sell contracts representing each possible outcome – in this case, Alabama winning the 3rd quarter or Texas A&M winning the 3rd quarter. The price of each contract reflects the market’s probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the collective assessment of the event’s likelihood. The closer we get to the event, the more sensitive the prices become to new information.
This market resolves around Oct 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the official result of which team won the third quarter of the Texas A&M versus Alabama football game will determine the winning contract. The resolution will be based on the official game statistics and records, ensuring a transparent and verifiable outcome for all participants in this market.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. News regarding key player injuries for either Alabama or Texas A&M would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest adverse playing conditions, could also shift the odds. Additionally, any major announcements related to team strategy or coaching decisions might cause traders to reassess their probabilities. Finally, public sentiment and analysis from sports commentators could contribute to price fluctuations as the game approaches.