TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 24, 6:20 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets focus on the point differential between Texas A&M and Alabama specifically during the third quarter of their college football game. Outcomes depend entirely on which team scores more points in that quarter, with varying thresholds defining success.
All markets resolve based solely on points scored during the third quarter of the Texas A&M vs Alabama college football game scheduled for October 24, 2026. Each market has a specific point differential threshold that determines a 'Yes' outcome—either Alabama or Texas A&M must win the quarter by exceeding that margin. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of the original start time, markets remain open and resolve according to the official result. Should the game fail to start within this 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of the game's ultimate status.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbook odds are typically set by a small team of experts, while this market aggregates insights from many individuals. It's common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or when new information emerges. However, as the event approaches, this market and sportsbook lines often converge, as both attempt to accurately forecast the final result. Examining both can provide a more comprehensive view.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different point spreads for the third quarter. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that spread occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to set accurate prices, as they profit from correctly predicting the outcome. The more traders who believe a particular spread is likely, the higher the price of the corresponding contract will rise, and vice versa. This dynamic process creates a real-time assessment of the event's probability.
This market resolves around Oct 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final point spread for the third quarter of the Texas A&M versus Alabama game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result reported by the governing sports organization. Traders holding contracts on the correct spread will receive a payout of 100, while those holding contracts on incorrect spreads will receive nothing. The precise timing of the resolution may vary slightly depending on the official data release.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Alabama or Texas A&M teams would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest adverse conditions, could also shift expectations. Furthermore, updates on team strategies or coaching decisions, as well as any significant shifts in public sentiment or betting patterns, could all contribute to price fluctuations in this market. Monitoring these signals can help inform your trading decisions.