TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 24, 5:26 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on predicting the margin of victory for either Texas A&M or Alabama specifically within the second quarter of their scheduled college football game. Each market corresponds to a different point differential threshold that must be exceeded by the winning team during that quarter alone.
All markets resolve based solely on points scored during the second quarter of play in the Texas A&M vs Alabama college football game scheduled for October 24, 2026. A market resolves to 'Yes' if the specified team wins the quarter by more than the stated point margin. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original start time, all markets remain open and resolve according to the official result. Should the game fail to start within this 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of the specific point differential conditions outlined in individual markets.
Often, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market allows a broader range of participants to express their beliefs about the likely outcome. It is common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or breaking news. These differences can present opportunities for informed traders who believe the market has mispriced the probability of a particular result. Examining these differences can highlight where public sentiment diverges from professional analysis.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different point spreads for the Alabama-Texas A&M 2nd quarter spread. The price of each contract reflects the market’s assessment of the probability of that spread occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust dynamically, creating a real-time forecast of the game’s second quarter. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as profitable trades are rewarded.
This market resolves around Oct 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final point spread of the second quarter is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result reported by the governing body of the game. The market will determine which contracts pay out based on whether the actual spread falls within the range represented by each contract. Traders holding winning contracts will receive a payout, while those holding losing contracts will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before it resolves. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Alabama or Texas A&M teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest conditions favorable to one team’s playing style, could also impact trading activity. Furthermore, any late-breaking news related to team strategy or coaching decisions could shift market sentiment. Public perception, influenced by expert analysis and media coverage, will also play a role in shaping the price of contracts.