TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 24, 7:05 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether Alabama will win its college football game against Texas A&M. Currently, the probability of Alabama winning on Kalshi is 98.0%, while the probability of a Texas A&M victory is 3.0%. The market will resolve based on the outcome of the Texas A&M vs Alabama college football game originally scheduled for Oct 24, 2026, as determined by the game’s final result. Keep a close watch on the game itself, as the outcome on October 24, 2026 will determine resolution of this market.
The market resolves based on the official result of the Texas A&M vs Alabama college football game scheduled for October 24, 2026. If either team wins the game as officially recorded, the corresponding market will resolve to Yes. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of the original scheduled start time, the market remains open and resolves according to the final, official result. Should the game be cancelled or fail to start within the 48-hour window, the market will resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants. Kalshi explicitly disclaims any affiliation with the NCAA, and all related trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect a different kind of wisdom than sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market represents the collective forecast of informed traders. Typically, prediction markets tend to be more accurate than traditional point spreads, especially when considering the wisdom of the crowd. However, sportsbook odds are readily available and provide a useful benchmark for comparison. Discrepancies between the two can highlight opportunities for informed traders to capitalize on perceived mispricings in either venue.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the market's probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy into a particular outcome, its price increases, and the implied probability rises. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth and volume indicate the level of confidence traders have in each possible result. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows for real-time adjustments based on new information and changing sentiment surrounding the Alabama vs Texas A&M game.
This market resolves around Oct 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Alabama vs Texas A&M game, as reported by a widely recognized sports news source. Traders will be able to see the final outcome reflected in their account balances shortly after the game concludes. It’s important to monitor the event closely as it approaches, as any late-breaking news or changes could impact the market.
Several signals could significantly move this market. Any major news regarding injuries to key players on either team would likely cause a shift in probabilities. Unexpected coaching changes, significant weather forecasts impacting game conditions, or even shifts in public sentiment based on pre-game analysis could all influence trading activity. Furthermore, large volume trades from informed individuals or institutions could also trigger price movements. Monitoring these factors closely will be crucial for anyone looking to trade in this market before it resolves.