TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 24, 4:32 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the combined scoring performance of Texas A&M and Alabama in the first quarter of their college football game. It evaluates whether the total points scored by both teams exceed specific thresholds. The outcome depends solely on the points accumulated within the first 15 minutes of play.
The event determines if the combined points scored by Texas A&M and Alabama in the first quarter of their college football game scheduled for October 24, 2026, exceed various thresholds ranging from 2.5 to 27.5 points. All markets resolve based on the official points scored during the first quarter only. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the markets remain open and resolve according to the actual result. If the game does not start within 48 hours, all markets resolve to a fair price. Kalshi explicitly states it is not affiliated with the NCAA, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which can be influenced by factors like house bias or promotional offers. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action, while this market allows participants to freely express their beliefs about the outcome. It's common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or when new information emerges. Examining these differences can be insightful, as prediction markets have historically demonstrated accuracy in forecasting various events, sometimes outperforming traditional methods. However, sportsbook odds remain a widely used benchmark for comparison.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing potential outcomes for the first quarter total. The price of each contract reflects the market's collective probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the evolving consensus. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth, or the number of contracts available at different price points, indicates the level of interest and liquidity for each possibility. Traders aim to profit by accurately predicting the outcome and capitalizing on price discrepancies.
This market resolves around Oct 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official first quarter total of the Texas A&M vs Alabama game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score will be sourced from official game statistics and reported by major sports news outlets. The market will settle to 100 for the outcome that matches the actual first quarter total, and 0 for all other possible outcomes. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct outcome will receive a payout, while those holding losing contracts will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence this market leading up to and during the game. Injury reports for key players on either the Texas A&M or Alabama teams would likely cause significant shifts in the odds. Unexpected weather conditions, such as heavy rain or strong winds, could also impact the scoring potential and therefore the market price. Furthermore, any major news or announcements related to team strategy or player availability could trigger trading activity. Even in-game events, like early scoring drives or turnovers, could lead to rapid adjustments in the market as traders react to the unfolding action.