TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.7b

24H VOL:

$279,496,801

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,923,931,766

416,910

Markets across

40,107

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,571

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

BETA
Dashboards
Tour
All
Sports
Texans vs. Titans
kalshi
polymarket

What is the result of Texans vs. Titans?

Volume:
$2,561,247

Texans vs. Titans

 - Polymarket

Texans vs. Titans - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 11, 2026

Closed: Oct 11, 4:12 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Texans vs. Titans

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,244,720
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -6.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$141,592
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -7.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$61,684
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Houston

100%
36%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$36,775
N/A
N/A
$30,259
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Texans O/U 23.5

100%
53%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$35,015
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -10.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$19,232
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -14.5

100%
74%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$16,037
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -4.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$11,305
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -3.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$6,368
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1H Spread -3.5

100%
49%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$5,847
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -9.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$5,827
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -13.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$5,594
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -5.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$5,051
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Texans O/U 20.5

100%
42%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$3,424
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -17.5

100%
79%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$3,277
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -20.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$3,130
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -8.5

100%
56%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,114
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -16.5

100%
77%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,792
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -19.5

100%
82%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$934
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 26.5

100%
15%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$640
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 24.5

100%
11%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$601
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1H Spread -4.5

100%
2%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$586
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -2.5

100%
29%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$265
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1H Moneyline

100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$242
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1H Spread -2.5

100%
42%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$217
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 25 of 310

Intro

This market tracks the probability of the Houston Texans winning the first quarter moneyline against the Tennessee Titans. Currently, the aggregated consensus across Kalshi and Polymarket gives a 50.0% probability to “Texans vs. Titans: 1Q Moneyline”. This prediction market draws on data from both platforms and will resolve based on official NFL data as reported at https://www.nfl.com/scores. With markets covering a wide range of game outcomes, keep an eye on the kickoff of the game on October 11th to see how the initial plays impact the market’s assessment of the Texans’ early performance.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi markets have a non-standard resolution logic, resolving to 'Yes' if any team wins a period, rather than based on the actual outcome of the game.Hero tip: Avoid Kalshi markets in this group as they are not predictive of the typical game outcome and are likely to resolve to 'Yes' regardless of the actual result.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Markets resolve based on the actual outcome of the game (win/loss, points scored, etc.) as determined by official NFL data. For example, the 'Texans vs. Titans' market resolves to 'Texans' if the Texans win.
  • Kalshi: Markets resolve to 'Yes' if either team wins a specific period (1st Half, 2nd Half). The question 'If Tennessee wins the 1st Half...' resolves to 'Yes' if Tennessee wins the 1st Half.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming NFL football game between Texans and Titans, scheduled for October 11 at 1:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Texans" if Texans win the game. This market will resolve to "Titans" if Titans win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Kalshi

If Tennessee wins the 1st Half of the HOU Texans vs TEN Titans Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Houston wins the 1st Half of the HOU Texans vs TEN Titans Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If neither team wins the 1st Half of the HOU Texans vs TEN Titans Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows traders to freely express their beliefs. This can lead to discrepancies, especially when public sentiment strongly diverges from expert opinion. The efficiency of this market means that odds tend to adjust rapidly as new information becomes available, potentially providing an edge for informed participants.

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi for the Texans-Titans game can diverge due to several factors. Each platform has its own user base, trading dynamics, and fee structure, all of which can influence price discovery. Differences in liquidity—the amount of volume available—can also lead to price discrepancies. Furthermore, the specific markets offered on each platform may focus on slightly different aspects of the game, leading to varying assessments of probability. For example, one platform might focus on the point spread, while the other centers on which team will win the first half.

Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Texans or the Titans would likely cause price fluctuations. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest adverse conditions, could also shift expectations. Unexpected coaching decisions or strategic adjustments announced before the game could influence trading activity. Finally, late-breaking news regarding team morale or internal conflicts could also move the market as traders react to new information.