TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 4:12 PM EST
Polymarket
This market tracks the probability of the Houston Texans winning the first quarter moneyline against the Tennessee Titans. Currently, the aggregated consensus across Kalshi and Polymarket gives a 50.0% probability to “Texans vs. Titans: 1Q Moneyline”. This prediction market draws on data from both platforms and will resolve based on official NFL data as reported at https://www.nfl.com/scores. With markets covering a wide range of game outcomes, keep an eye on the kickoff of the game on October 11th to see how the initial plays impact the market’s assessment of the Texans’ early performance.
In the upcoming NFL football game between Texans and Titans, scheduled for October 11 at 1:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Texans" if Texans win the game. This market will resolve to "Titans" if Titans win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
If Tennessee wins the 1st Half of the HOU Texans vs TEN Titans Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Houston wins the 1st Half of the HOU Texans vs TEN Titans Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If neither team wins the 1st Half of the HOU Texans vs TEN Titans Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi for the Texans-Titans game can diverge due to several factors. Each platform has its own user base, trading dynamics, and fee structure, all of which can influence price discovery. Differences in liquidity—the amount of volume available—can also lead to price discrepancies. Furthermore, the specific markets offered on each platform may focus on slightly different aspects of the game, leading to varying assessments of probability. For example, one platform might focus on the point spread, while the other centers on which team will win the first half.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Texans or the Titans would likely cause price fluctuations. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest adverse conditions, could also shift expectations. Unexpected coaching decisions or strategic adjustments announced before the game could influence trading activity. Finally, late-breaking news regarding team morale or internal conflicts could also move the market as traders react to new information.