TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 1:10 PM EST
Polymarket
First Touchdown Scorer markets for Texans vs. Jaguars.
First Touchdown Scorer markets for Texans vs. Jaguars.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in each player’s chance of scoring the first touchdown. As more shares are traded for a particular player, the price of those shares increases, reflecting a higher implied probability. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of a share represents the probability of that player being the first to score, minus a small platform fee. The market dynamically adjusts to new information and trader sentiment, providing a real-time assessment of the potential outcome.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The player who officially scores the first touchdown in the game, as recorded by official game statistics, will determine the winning outcome. The resolution will be based on the official game results and will be determined independently of the platform. Any disputes regarding the official scoring will be resolved based on the official game records.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Late-breaking news regarding player injuries, changes in weather conditions, or adjustments to team strategies could all shift trader sentiment. A key player being ruled out with an injury would likely increase the probability of other players scoring first. Additionally, any pre-game analysis or reports suggesting a shift in offensive focus could influence trading activity. Significant line movements in traditional sportsbooks could also prompt traders to reassess their positions in this market.