TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 12:30 PM EST
Predict
In the upcoming NFL football game between Texans and Jaguars, scheduled for October 18 at 9:30AM ET: This market will resolve to "Texans" if Texans win the game. This market will resolve to "Jaguars" if Jaguars win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
In the upcoming NFL football game between Texans and Jaguars, scheduled for October 18 at 9:30AM ET: This market will resolve to "Texans" if Texans win the game. This market will resolve to "Jaguars" if Jaguars win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect a different kind of wisdom than sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market represents the collective forecast of informed individuals. Often, prediction markets are more accurate than traditional point spreads, especially when considering the wisdom of the crowd. However, sportsbook odds are readily available and widely publicized, providing a common benchmark for comparison. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information sources, risk assessments, and the motivations of participants in each venue.
On Predict, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing different outcomes. The price of each share directly reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. As more people buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Predict, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The platform uses this dynamic pricing to create a real-time forecast of the game's result. The current volume of $45,386 indicates the level of interest and conviction among traders.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result of the Texans-Jaguars game will be used to determine the winning shares. The resolution process relies on publicly available information to ensure an objective and transparent outcome. Traders will be able to see the final result and the distribution of payouts once the market is settled. This provides a clear and definitive conclusion to the prediction process.
Several factors could significantly influence this market before the game takes place. Any news regarding key player injuries, changes in coaching strategies, or even weather forecasts could shift the perceived probabilities. Unexpected announcements about team performance or player availability are also likely to cause movement. Public sentiment, as reflected in sports news and analysis, can also play a role, though the market often incorporates information before it becomes widely known. Major upsets in other games involving these teams could also indirectly impact trading activity.