TOTAL VOLUME:
$139.1b
24H VOL:
$140,881,811
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,525,689,812
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,593,041,412
479,659
Markets across
37,354
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,909
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 27, 4:09 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks the exact final margin of victory in the NFL game between the Houston Texans and the Indianapolis Colts. Currently, the consensus probability favors an exact margin of victory for the Colts by 14-20 points at 100.0%. This aggregated view combines data from Polymarket and Kalshi, and will resolve based on the official results reported at https://www.nfl.com/scores. Keep an eye on the game itself, scheduled for September 27th, as the outcome will determine the market’s resolution.
In the upcoming NFL game, scheduled for September 27 at 1:00PM ET: If Texans wins, the market will resolve to "Texans". If Colts wins, the market will resolve to "Colts". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely or ends in a tie, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
The market resolves based on the result of the professional football game between Houston and Indianapolis scheduled for September 27, 2026. If either team wins, the corresponding market will resolve to Yes. In the event of a tie, each team's market will resolve to $0.50. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the market remains open to resolve based on the final result. If the game does not start within 48 hours of the scheduled time, the market will resolve to a fair price. The markets are independent of any official league affiliations, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set initial lines based on complex models and often incorporate a profit margin, while this market allows traders to dynamically adjust probabilities based on new information and their own analysis. This can lead to discrepancies, as prediction markets may more quickly incorporate factors like injuries or changing team dynamics. However, both aim to accurately forecast the result of the Texans-Colts game, and comparing them can be a valuable exercise for informed decision-making.
Several factors could significantly impact this market before the game concludes. Any news regarding key player injuries on either the Texans or the Colts would likely cause a shift in probabilities. Unexpected changes in weather conditions, such as a severe storm, could also influence the market. Furthermore, significant line movements in traditional sportsbooks, or even major news stories surrounding team morale or coaching decisions, could prompt traders to reassess their positions and adjust the odds. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for anyone looking to trade in this market.