TOTAL VOLUME:

$114.2b

24H VOL:

$136,585,290

24H TRANSACTIONS:

1,307,417,995

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,159,129,525

320,226

Markets across

31,497

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,926

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

42%

VS.

Kalshi:

58%

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Test Match: Sri Lanka vs India
Sports
polymarket
kalshi

Test Match: Sri Lanka vs India

Total volume:
$1,923
Volume 24h:
$298
42%
Liquidity:
$7,773
12%
Open interest:
$383
6%

India

all

2 markets

Kalshi

74%

Polymarket

73%

consensus

73.5%

-12.2%

spread

73-74%

(1pp)

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

70%75%80%85%90%95%

Aug 16

Aug 17

Aug 18

Aug 19

Aug 19

Aug 20

Aug 21

Vol.

$868.0

·

Resolves Aug 30, 2026

Time left: 07d:03h:43m

Sri Lanka vs India match: India wins

74%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
kalshi

Trade on Kalshi

Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.At 74¢ buys you 135 shares | Odds: 74% Total Payout: $135 | Net Profit: $35 Multiplier: 1.35x | ROI: 35% APY not meaningful 7 days to resolution
polymarket

Trade on Polymarket

At 73¢ buys you 137 shares | Odds: 71% Total Payout: $137 | Net Profit: $37 Multiplier: 1.37x | ROI: 37% APY not meaningful 8 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result

Description

This event group covers the Test Match between Sri Lanka and India scheduled for August 23, 2026. The markets will resolve based on the official match result as recognized by cricket governing bodies, with specific rules for draws, ties, and match cancellations.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

All platforms use identical resolution logic based on official match results, with consistent handling of wins, draws, ties, and cancellations.Primary resolution logic: Official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers

Core resolution logic:

  • A win by either team (including via DLS/DRS, over-rate penalties, forfeit/walkover, or tiebreak procedures) resolves the respective win market to Yes and the opposite win market to No
  • Draws and ties (including abandoned or canceled matches) resolve the draw market to Yes and both win markets to No
  • If official statistics are not published within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Postponement or Rescheduling: The market will remain open until the listed fixture is completed
  • Permanent Cancellation or Abandonment: The market will resolve to draw
  • Tied Match with Tiebreak: The winner determined by the tiebreak will be used for resolution
Timing: Resolution occurs after the match concludes and official statistics are published (or within 2 hours after conclusion if using credible reporting as fallback)Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
Show more

Polymarket

This market refers to the cricket match between Sri Lanka and India scheduled for August 23 2026 in Test Match. DLS/DRS, over-rate penalties, forfeit/walkover, or any other on-field ruling that leads the competition to declare a winner are treated as ordinary wins. If the match ends tied and the playing conditions provide an on-field tiebreak (e.g., Super Over), the winner determined by that tiebreak will be used for resolution. If the match ends tied and no on-field tiebreak is used or available under the playing conditions (e.g., group-stage ODI with no Super Over), the market will resolve to draw. If the match is postponed or rescheduled, the market will remain open until the listed fixture is completed. If the match is permanently canceled or abandoned or otherwise is completed without a winner, the market will resolve to draw. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the official result of the Sri Lanka vs India men's professional Test series cricket match scheduled for August 23, 2026. If Sri Lanka wins, the 'Sri Lanka' market resolves to Yes; if India wins, the 'India' market resolves to Yes; and if the match ends in a draw or tie, the 'Draw/Tie' market resolves to Yes. If the match is cancelled before commencement or abandoned before the toss with no official result, all markets resolve to a fair market price. If the match is delayed beyond five days from its original start time before commencement, all markets also resolve to a fair market price. However, if the match is abandoned after the toss, markets will resolve according to the official result declared by the governing body. Kalshi clarifies that it is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

The dashboard for the Sri Lanka vs India Test match aggregates data across multiple platforms, showing real-time probabilities and volume for this market. It tracks how Polymarket and Kalshi price the chances of each outcome, along with total volume of $1,903 and 24-hour volume of $338. This gives you a consensus view of market sentiment as the match approaches.

Prediction market odds on this market often differ from traditional sportsbook lines due to the speculative nature of trader-driven pricing. While sportsbooks may set their lines based on analytics and historical trends, prediction markets reflect real-time trader sentiment and can show sharper shifts. The spread between the two can be as wide as 3.0, influenced by factors like trader positioning and recent team performance.

On Polymarket, this market is priced through trader bets that may react quickly to news or momentum shifts. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Meanwhile, Kalshi could have different liquidity conditions or user bases, leading to price variations. For instance, Polymarket currently favors Will India win? at 71.0%, while Kalshi leans toward Sri Lanka vs India match: India wins at 74.0%, reflecting divergent trader sentiment on each venue.

This market resolves around Aug 30, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result will reflect the official match conclusion, determined by the teams' performance on the field and confirmed through widely accepted sports authorities.

Injuries, weather conditions, and recent form for key players could shift this market significantly before Aug 30, 2026. Any last-minute team changes or venue updates may also sway trader sentiment, especially as the start date approaches. Keep an eye on official team announcements and pitch conditions, as these often drive rapid price adjustments in the days leading up to the match.