TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 23, 10:52 PM EST
Kalshi
The match features two teams competing in a professional soccer league. The focus is on whether both teams manage to score at least one goal during regular time, which includes the standard 90 minutes plus any additional stoppage time added by the referee. This outcome determines the resolution of certain betting conditions related to the game.
If Tepatitlan and Cancun FC both score a goal in the Tepatitlan vs Cancun FC Liga de Expansion MX match originally scheduled for Oct 23, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from sportsbook odds due to varying information and biases. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and to balance action, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. If a significant discrepancy exists between the implied probability on Kalshi and sportsbook odds, it could indicate that the market believes the sportsbook is mispricing the event. However, it’s important to remember that both represent probabilities, and neither guarantees the actual outcome.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about whether both Tepatitlan and Cancun FC will score. The price of a contract directly corresponds to the implied probability of the event occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market price fluctuates based on supply and demand; more buying pressure increases the price, indicating a higher perceived probability, while more selling pressure decreases it. Traders aim to profit by accurately predicting the outcome and trading accordingly.
This market resolves around Oct 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will depend on whether both Tepatitlan and Cancun FC score at least one goal during the match. Official match data will be used to determine if both teams found the back of the net, and that information will be used to settle the market. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result to understand the outcome of this market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 24, 2026. News regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Tepatitlan or Cancun FC would likely cause movement. Changes in team form, such as a surprising win or loss in a recent match, could also shift expectations. Even weather conditions on match day, if they are expected to significantly impact the game, could play a role. Any significant information that alters the perceived likelihood of both teams scoring will likely be reflected in the trading activity on Kalshi.