TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 9, 10:44 PM EST
Kalshi
The match features two teams competing in a league fixture, where each team aims to score during the regular 90 minutes plus any added stoppage time. The focus is on whether both participants manage to find the net within the standard match duration. This scenario highlights the offensive capabilities of both sides in a head-to-head contest.
If Tepatitlan and Atletico Morelia both score a goal in the Tepatitlan vs Atletico Morelia Liga de Expansion MX match originally scheduled for Oct 9, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Typically, prediction market odds, like those found on Kalshi, reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, but may also incorporate a margin for profit. This market, however, is driven by individuals trading based on their own research and beliefs, potentially leading to odds that more accurately predict the actual outcome as new information emerges. It's common to see discrepancies, especially as the event approaches and more traders participate.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of ‘Yes’ (both teams score) or ‘No’ (one or neither team scores). The price of a contract ranges from 0 to 100, representing the implied probability. As more people buy ‘Yes’ contracts, the price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price dynamically adjusts based on supply and demand, providing a real-time assessment of the perceived likelihood of both teams finding the net.
This market resolves around Oct 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will depend on whether both Tepatitlan and Atletico Morelia score at least one goal during the match. Official match results from a recognized sporting authority will be used to determine the final outcome of this market. Traders will be able to see the result reflected in their account balances shortly after the official confirmation is available.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before it resolves. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Tepatitlan or Atletico Morelia would likely cause movement. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to heavily impact the style of play, could also shift the market. Additionally, significant updates on team form, tactical changes, or even pre-match analysis from reputable sources could all contribute to price fluctuations in this market.