TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 24, 7:14 PM EST
Kalshi
This market predicts whether the total points scored in the Tennessee vs South Carolina college football game will exceed 40.5. Currently, the “Full Game: Over 40.5 points scored” outcome is trading at 99.0% on Kalshi. Resolution will be determined by the final score of the game, as reported according to the rules detailed in the resolution source. Participants should closely watch the game itself on October 24, 2026, as the final score at the end of regulation will determine the market’s outcome.
All markets resolve based on whether the combined score of Tennessee and South Carolina in their college football game scheduled for October 24, 2026, exceeds a specified threshold. Each market corresponds to a different point total threshold, ranging from 31.5 to 73.5 points. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the result still applies. If the game does not start within 48 hours of the scheduled time, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of the specific threshold they selected.
Generally, prediction markets and sportsbooks often arrive at similar probabilities, but there can be differences. Sportsbooks incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, ensuring a profit margin, while Kalshi allows traders to directly assess probabilities. This can lead to prediction market prices being more efficient, reflecting the collective wisdom of the crowd. However, sportsbook odds are readily available and widely followed, serving as a common benchmark for comparison. It’s common to see initial discrepancies that narrow as the event approaches, with each influencing the other as new information emerges.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different total point outcomes for the Tennessee-South Carolina game. The price of each contract reflects the market’s assessment of the probability of that specific total occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the evolving consensus. The current price indicates how much it costs to take a position on a particular outcome, and changes in price signal shifts in market expectations. This dynamic pricing mechanism aims to represent the collective prediction of all participants.
This market resolves around Oct 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final total points scored in the Tennessee versus South Carolina football game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official game statistics as reported by a trusted sports data source. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct total points will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on incorrect totals will not. The market’s resolution ensures a clear and objective determination of the winning contracts.
Several factors could influence the Tennessee-South Carolina points total market. News regarding key player injuries on either team would likely cause significant movement, as would changes in weather forecasts predicting adverse conditions. Updates on team strategies or coaching decisions could also impact expectations. Furthermore, any major shifts in public sentiment, perhaps driven by expert analysis or media coverage, could influence trading activity. Late-breaking news or unexpected developments related to either team’s performance will likely be reflected in the price of contracts on Kalshi.