TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 24, 3:50 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks how many touchdowns are caught by players from each team during a college football matchup. The outcomes depend solely on the number of passes successfully turned into points for each side, regardless of other scoring methods.
All markets resolve based on the official number of receiving touchdowns scored by each team in the Tennessee vs South Carolina college football game scheduled for October 24, 2026, including any touchdowns scored during overtime periods. A receiving touchdown is defined as a touchdown where the player who catches the pass crosses the goal line with the ball. Touchdowns resulting from fumble recoveries by another player do not count, unless the receiving player recovers their own fumble and scores. Successful two-point conversions, whether in regulation or overtime, are excluded from all counts. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original start time, all markets remain active and resolve according to the final official result. If the game fails to start within this 48-hour window, markets resolve to a fair price. Kalshi explicitly states it holds no affiliation with the NCAA, and all referenced trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from initial sportsbook lines which can be influenced by factors like public perception or sharp action. Sportsbooks set initial lines to balance betting volume, while this market’s prices are driven solely by individuals willing to buy or sell based on their own analysis. Over time, the two may converge as more information becomes available, but discrepancies can exist, especially before the event begins. It’s common to see prediction markets incorporate information faster than traditional odds.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of each outcome. As more people buy contracts for a particular outcome, the price increases, reflecting a higher perceived chance of that outcome occurring. Conversely, selling contracts drives the price down. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of a contract directly translates to an implied probability, allowing traders to express their views and for the market to aggregate collective intelligence about the Tennessee vs South Carolina game.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the market will determine which team has more receiving touchdowns in the game. Official game statistics will be used to verify the result. The final price on Kalshi will reflect the probability of the winning outcome at the time of resolution, and contracts will pay out accordingly to those who correctly predicted the result.
Several factors could influence this market. Any news regarding injuries to key wide receivers or tight ends on either team would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if heavy rain or strong winds are predicted, could also shift expectations about passing game performance. Pre-game analysis from sports analysts, while not directly impacting the market, could influence trader sentiment. Finally, any late-breaking news about team strategies or coaching decisions could also impact trading activity in this market.