TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 24, 7:14 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether Tennessee will win their college football game against South Carolina by more than 1.5 points. Currently, Kalshi gives a 60.0% probability to Tennessee winning by over 1.5 points, with resolution determined by the final score of the game originally scheduled for Oct 24, 2026. The market will resolve based on whether Tennessee wins by more than 20.5 points, as defined by the resolution source. Keep a close eye on the game itself, as the final result on October 24, 2026 will determine the outcome of this market.
All markets resolve based on the official final result of the Tennessee vs South Carolina college football game scheduled for October 24, 2026. For markets specifying a Tennessee victory by a certain margin, the market resolves to Yes if Tennessee wins by more than that margin; otherwise, it resolves to No. Conversely, markets specifying a South Carolina victory resolve to Yes if South Carolina wins by more than the stated margin. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of the original start time, all markets remain open and resolve according to the final result. If the game fails to start within 48 hours of its scheduled time, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants under unforeseen circumstances.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and need to account for profit margins, while this market is driven purely by traders’ beliefs about the likely outcome. If there’s a significant discrepancy, it may indicate that the market believes the sportsbook has mispriced the event, or that new information hasn’t yet been fully incorporated into sportsbook lines. It’s common to see convergence as the event approaches.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts. The price of a contract represents the probability of the spread falling within a certain range. As more traders buy contracts predicting a specific outcome, the price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and reflect changing expectations about the game. The current price reflects the collective assessment of all traders participating in this market.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final point spread of the Tennessee versus South Carolina football game will be used to determine whether the 'over' or 'under' contracts will pay out. The official result, as reported by a trusted sports data source, will be the basis for settlement. Traders will be able to see the final outcome and whether their contracts were successful shortly after the game concludes.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either Tennessee or South Carolina would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest adverse conditions, could also impact the spread. Unexpected coaching decisions or significant shifts in team performance during other games could also play a role. Public sentiment, as reflected in betting trends and media coverage, can also contribute to price fluctuations in this market.