TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 24, 7:29 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets focus on predicting the margin of victory for either Tennessee or South Carolina specifically within the final quarter of their scheduled game. Each outcome represents a different point differential threshold that must be exceeded for the bet to succeed.
All markets resolve based solely on points scored during the 4th quarter (excluding overtime) of the Tennessee vs South Carolina college football game scheduled for October 24, 2026. A 'Yes' outcome occurs when the winning team achieves a points margin exceeding the specified threshold for that market. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original scheduled start time, markets remain open and resolve according to the final official result. Should the game fail to start within this 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price. No markets consider points from overtime periods.
Generally, prediction markets and sportsbooks often arrive at similar probabilities, but they can diverge based on differing information or biases. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market reflects the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to be accurate. If a significant discrepancy exists, it could indicate that prediction market participants believe sportsbooks have mispriced the event, or have access to information not yet reflected in sportsbook odds. It’s common to see some difference, but large deviations can present potential opportunities for informed traders.
This market resolves around Oct 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the final point spread in the 4th quarter of the Tennessee vs. South Carolina game will be used to determine which contracts pay out. The market will settle based on the official result, as reported by a trusted sports data source. Traders will be able to see the final result and payout information on Kalshi following the game's completion.
Several factors could influence the Tennessee-South Carolina spread between now and game day. Any news regarding key player injuries on either team would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest adverse playing conditions, could also impact the market. Furthermore, any significant shifts in public perception or betting trends, as reflected in sportsbook odds, could influence trading activity on Kalshi. Late-breaking news or unexpected developments leading up to the game could also contribute to volatility in this market.