TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.1b
24H VOL:
$172,394,893
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,983,476,643
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,821,572,886
404,136
Markets across
40,075
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,369
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 24, 6:16 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on predicting the point differential in the third quarter of a college football game between Tennessee and South Carolina. Each market corresponds to a specific margin of victory for either team during that quarter, allowing participants to speculate on how dominant one team might be in that specific segment of the game.
The markets resolve based on the point differential achieved by either Tennessee or South Carolina exclusively during the third quarter of their college football game scheduled for October 24, 2026. Each market corresponds to a specific point spread threshold, with outcomes ranging from narrow victories (over 2.5 points) to larger margins (over 10.5 points). Only points scored in the third quarter count toward resolving these markets. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original scheduled start time, the markets remain active and resolve according to the official result. Should the game fail to start within this 48-hour window, the markets will resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants. The markets are independent of the overall game outcome and focus solely on third-quarter performance.
Often, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market allows anyone to trade on their beliefs about the outcome. If a significant discrepancy exists between this market and sportsbook lines, it may indicate differing opinions on the likely result or differing levels of information incorporated into the respective prices. However, it’s important to remember that both represent probabilities of an event occurring, and neither is guaranteed to be accurate.
This market resolves around Oct 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final third-quarter spread of the Tennessee vs South Carolina game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result as reported by a trusted sports data source. Traders holding contracts on the correct spread will receive a payout of $1.00 per contract, while those holding contracts on incorrect spreads will receive $0.00. The market’s outcome is determined by the actual game result, not by any subjective assessment.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before it resolves. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Tennessee or South Carolina teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest conditions favoring one team's playing style, could also impact trading activity. Additionally, any late-breaking news about team strategy or coaching decisions could shift market sentiment. Finally, large trading volume from informed participants could also drive price changes in this market.