TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 24, 7:22 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on predicting the margin of victory for either Tennessee or South Carolina in the second half of their college football matchup. Each market corresponds to a specific point differential threshold that must be exceeded by the winning team during the second half, including any overtime periods.
The markets resolve based on the point differential in the second half (including overtime) of the designated college football game between Tennessee and South Carolina. For markets specifying South Carolina as the potential winner, resolution occurs if South Carolina's second-half point differential exceeds the stated threshold. Conversely, markets specifying Tennessee as the potential winner resolve if Tennessee's second-half point differential exceeds the stated threshold. All markets exclusively consider points scored during the second half and overtime; first-half points are irrelevant. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original scheduled start time, markets remain open and resolve according to the final official result. Should the game fail to start within this 48-hour window, all markets resolve at a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of game completion status.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often aligning closely with sportsbook odds but sometimes diverging based on unique information or perspectives held by traders. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market incorporates the collective predictions of many individuals. Discrepancies can arise from differing risk assessments or the influence of public sentiment, offering potential value for informed traders. It’s common to see this market move in tandem with sportsbook lines, particularly as more information becomes available.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where buyers and sellers set the price of contracts. Traders can buy 'yes' contracts, predicting the spread will be as indicated, or sell 'no' contracts, betting against it. The price of a contract represents the probability of that specific spread occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the price adjusts to reflect the evolving consensus. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures that the market efficiently incorporates all available information.
This market resolves around Oct 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final point spread of the second half of the Tennessee versus South Carolina game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result reported by the governing body of the sport. Traders holding 'yes' contracts will receive a payout if the actual spread matches their prediction, while those with 'no' contracts will receive a payout if the spread differs. The final result will be publicly available on Kalshi following the game’s completion.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Tennessee or South Carolina teams would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather conditions, such as heavy rain or strong winds, could also shift expectations. Furthermore, in-game performance during the first half, including scoring drives and defensive stops, could lead to adjustments in the market price as traders react to the unfolding events. Public sentiment and large bets placed on Kalshi can also contribute to price movements.