TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 24, 4:15 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the performance of two college football teams in the first quarter of their matchup, focusing on the margin of victory for either side. It allows participants to speculate on how dominantly one team might lead early in the game.
The event evaluates whether South Carolina or Tennessee wins the first quarter of their college football game by a specified point margin. Each market corresponds to a different point-spread threshold that must be exceeded by the winning team. Points scored exclusively during the first quarter are considered for resolution. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original schedule, the market remains active and resolves based on the actual result. Should the game fail to commence within this 48-hour window, the market resolves to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants. The outcome is determined solely by the point differential in the first quarter, with no consideration given to the final game result.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of informed traders, and can sometimes diverge from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook’s line is inaccurate, they can influence the price on Kalshi, potentially creating an advantage for those who identify these discrepancies. This dynamic can lead to more accurate probabilities than those offered by sportsbooks.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different point spreads. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that spread occurring, as determined by supply and demand. As more people buy contracts predicting a certain outcome, the price of those contracts increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This means the price isn't set by a central authority, but emerges from the collective actions of all participants trading on the exchange.
This market resolves around Oct 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the actual point spread achieved in the first quarter of the Tennessee versus South Carolina football game will determine which contracts pay out. The market will settle based on the official result reported by a trusted sports data source, ensuring a transparent and verifiable outcome for all traders. The final result will determine which contracts are considered 'yes' and will pay out to their holders.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the game concludes. News regarding key player injuries for either Tennessee or South Carolina would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest adverse conditions, could also shift expectations. Furthermore, any late-breaking news about team strategy or coaching decisions could move the market. Even public sentiment, reflected in betting trends and social media discussion, can contribute to price fluctuations in this market.