TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 24, 5:14 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets track how many points each team scores in the first half of an upcoming college football game. The outcomes depend on whether a team's point total exceeds specific thresholds, offering different levels of difficulty for achieving a 'Yes' result.
All markets resolve based on whether South Carolina or Tennessee scores over specified point thresholds in the first half of the designated college football game. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, all markets remain open and resolve according to the final official result. If the game does not start within 48 hours of its scheduled time, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of the game's actual commencement.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, incorporating a profit margin. This market, however, is driven by traders who are incentivized to accurately predict the outcome. If a significant discrepancy exists between prediction market probabilities and sportsbook odds, it could indicate that the market believes the sportsbook has mispriced the event. It’s a useful comparison point for informed decision-making.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of the outcome. The price of a contract ranges from 0 to 100, representing a 0% to 100% probability. As more people buy contracts, the price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism reflects the collective beliefs of all participants. Traders are constantly adjusting their positions based on new information and their own analysis, leading to a constantly evolving price discovery process.
This market resolves around Oct 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the total points scored by both Tennessee and South Carolina in the first half of the game will be used to determine if the market resolves in the affirmative or negative. The official game statistics, as reported by a trusted sports data provider, will serve as the basis for verification. Traders will be able to see the final result reflected in their account balances shortly after the game concludes.
Several factors could influence this market before its resolution. Any news regarding key player injuries for either Tennessee or South Carolina would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to impact scoring, could also shift the odds. Additionally, late-breaking news about team strategies or coaching decisions might affect trader sentiment. Finally, large volume trades on Kalshi itself can create short-term price fluctuations, reflecting shifts in market participants’ beliefs.