TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 3:50 PM EST
Kalshi
This market on Kalshi tracks whether either Josh Downs or Calvin Ridley will score two or more touchdowns in the Tennessee versus Indianapolis football game. Currently, the probability of Josh Downs scoring 2+ touchdowns is 17.0%, while Calvin Ridley has a 2.0% chance of achieving the same. The market will resolve based on whether the Indianapolis Colts D/ST scores at least one touchdown during the game, as determined by official game results. Keep an eye on the game itself, scheduled for October 18, 2026, as the outcome will depend on scoring plays made during that contest.
The event determines if either the Indianapolis Colts or Tennessee Titans defensive/special teams units score at least one touchdown in their Pro Football game originally scheduled for October 18, 2026. For each team’s market, if the defensive unit is active but never takes a snap, the market settles at the fair market price determined before the game starts. Once the unit takes at least one snap—regardless of whether any play is nullified by penalty—the market resolves based on whether they score a touchdown. Touchdowns scored by the offensive team on fake punts or field goals do not count toward this market; only defensive/special teams touchdowns count. The settlement hinges strictly on defensive scoring activity, independent of the game's final score or other factors.
Often, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market reflects the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to be accurate. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply variations in how each assesses the probability of an event. If you find a significant difference between the implied probability in this market and sportsbook odds, it could signal an opportunity for informed trading, or a disagreement about the likely outcome of the game.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different possible outcomes. The price of a contract indicates the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders adjust their bids and asks based on new information, their own analysis, and their expectations of how others will react. This dynamic process leads to a market price that reflects the aggregated beliefs of all traders involved, creating a real-time forecast of the event's likelihood.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the total number of touchdowns scored in the game between Tennessee and Indianapolis, as officially recorded by sports data providers. The final market price will reflect the probability of the actual outcome at the time of resolution, and contracts will pay out accordingly. Traders will be able to see the final result and their contract payouts shortly after the game concludes and the data is verified.
Several factors could influence the price of contracts in this market. Any news regarding key player injuries to either team's offense, changes in weather conditions that might affect scoring, or even significant shifts in public perception could all lead to price movements. Unexpected coaching decisions or strategic adjustments announced before the game could also impact trader sentiment. Monitoring these signals and assessing their potential impact on the number of touchdowns scored is crucial for anyone looking to trade in this market effectively.