TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 4:12 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks the total combined score of a football game between two teams on a specific date. Each market corresponds to a different threshold of points, allowing participants to assess the likelihood of the game's total exceeding various benchmarks.
These markets resolve based on whether the combined score of the Tennessee and Indianapolis Pro Football game scheduled for October 18, 2026, exceeds specified thresholds. Each market has a unique threshold, ranging from 23.5 to 65.5 points. If the actual total points scored by both teams surpasses the threshold defined in a given market, that market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. All markets are independent, meaning the outcome of one does not affect the others. The secondary rules clarify that the platform hosting these markets has no official affiliation with the governing league of the football game, and all related trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market incorporates a wider range of information and perspectives from many participants. While sportsbooks may adjust their lines based on betting action, prediction markets continuously update prices based on every trade, potentially leading to more accurate probabilities, especially closer to the event. It’s common to see discrepancies, as each operates with different incentives and information sources.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different total point outcomes for the game. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders aim to profit by accurately predicting the final point total and taking positions accordingly. As more trades occur, the prices converge to reflect the collective intelligence of the market, providing a dynamic assessment of the game’s potential scoring.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final total points scored in the Tennessee versus Indianapolis game, as officially recorded by the NFL, will determine the winning contract. The resolution will be based on the official game statistics and will be publicly available following the conclusion of the game. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their strategies for future events.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the Tennessee or Indianapolis teams would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if severe weather is predicted, could also shift expectations about the scoring potential. Furthermore, late-breaking news about coaching strategies or team dynamics could influence trader sentiment. Finally, large trading volume from informed participants could signal a shift in market opinion and cause prices to move quickly.