TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 4:11 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the offensive performance of both teams in an upcoming football game, focusing on whether each team achieves specific yardage thresholds. Bettors can speculate on the likelihood of either team reaching various yardage milestones, providing insight into expected game dynamics and team strategies.
The event evaluates whether Indianapolis or Tennessee reaches designated offensive yardage thresholds in their Pro Football game scheduled for October 18, 2026. Multiple markets exist for each team at varying yardage levels (250+, 300+, 350+, 400+, and 450+ yards). A market resolves to 'Yes' if the respective team meets or exceeds its specified threshold. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the market remains active and resolves based on the final result. If the game does not start within 48 hours, the market resolves to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants. The markets operate independently, allowing for distinct outcomes for each yardage level and team.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often incorporating information and analysis beyond that readily available to sportsbooks. While sportsbooks set initial lines based on team statistics and expert opinions, this market allows traders to adjust those expectations based on a wider range of factors, including injury reports, weather conditions, and even subtle shifts in public perception. It’s common to see differences emerge, as prediction markets can sometimes identify mispricings or undervalued probabilities that sportsbooks may miss. However, as the event approaches, the odds on Kalshi tend to converge with sportsbook lines.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing predictions about the total yards for each team. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust dynamically, providing a real-time assessment of the likely total yards. The market depth shows the available contracts at different price points, indicating the level of demand and supply for each possible outcome. This creates a fluid and responsive pricing mechanism.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final total yards for each team will be sourced from official NFL statistics and will determine whether contracts predicting above or below a certain yardage threshold will pay out. The resolution will be based on the officially recorded statistics, ensuring a transparent and objective determination of the market’s outcome. Traders should monitor official sources for the final results to understand the settlement of their positions.
Several factors could significantly impact this market before resolution. Any major injuries to key offensive players on either the Tennessee or Indianapolis teams would likely cause a shift in expectations and price movements. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly conditions that favor passing or running offenses, could also influence trading activity. Late-breaking news regarding coaching strategies or player matchups could also play a role. Finally, significant public attention or expert analysis predicting a particular outcome could drive increased volume and price changes on Kalshi.