TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 4:13 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the performance of both teams in a football game, focusing specifically on how many times each team successfully tackles the opposing team's quarterback behind the line of scrimmage. The outcome depends on whether specific thresholds of these tackles, known as sacks, are met by either team during the match.
The event resolves based on the total number of sacks recorded by each team in the Tennessee vs. Indianapolis Pro Football game scheduled for October 18, 2026. Each market corresponds to a specific sack threshold for either team, and the market resolves to Yes if the team records at least the number of sacks specified in the market title. Sacks recorded during a 2-point conversion attempt are excluded from the count. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original scheduled start time, all markets remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game does not start within 48 hours of the scheduled time, all markets resolve to a fair price. The markets are independent, with each threshold representing a distinct outcome.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set their odds to balance action and ensure profit, while this market allows traders to express their own probabilities. As more information becomes available – like injury reports or weather forecasts – the odds here can shift more dynamically than at sportsbooks. It’s common to see this market converge towards the ‘true’ probability as the event approaches, potentially offering value for informed traders compared to traditional betting options.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes for the total number of sacks. The price of each contract indicates the market’s implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are constantly adjusting their bids and asks based on their own analysis and expectations, creating a dynamic pricing mechanism. This means the odds are not set by a single entity but emerge from the collective intelligence of all participants trading in the NFL sacks market.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final sack total recorded by official NFL statistics will determine the winning contract. The resolution will be based on the official game statistics, ensuring a transparent and objective outcome. Traders will be able to see the final result and any associated payouts shortly after the game concludes and the official data is released.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Injury reports for key defensive players on either the Tennessee or Indianapolis teams would be a major catalyst. Unexpected changes in weather conditions, such as heavy rain or strong winds, could affect passing plays and thus sack opportunities. News regarding offensive line matchups, or any strategic adjustments announced by either coaching staff, could also influence trading activity. Finally, any late-breaking news about player availability or performance expectations could lead to substantial shifts in the odds.