TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 5:38 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks rushing yard milestones for specific players in an upcoming football game between Tennessee and Indianapolis. The outcome depends on whether designated players achieve particular rushing yard thresholds during the full match, including any overtime periods.
All markets in this event are designated as 'protected,' meaning they incorporate specific player participation criteria to determine settlement. If a player participates in at least one play during the first half but does not participate in any play after halftime (including overtime), the contract resolves to the fair price set before the game’s kickoff unless the player meets or exceeds the specified rushing yard threshold, in which case it settles based on actual statistics. If the player participates in any play after halftime, the contract settles based on actual statistics regardless of first-half involvement. Notably, penalties that nullify a play do not count toward participation, and players who never participate are subject to the fair price non-participation rule. The protected designation applies exclusively to full-game contracts with 'at least' or 'above' payout criteria, and all statistics include overtime performance. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks incorporate a ‘vig’ or commission into their odds, ensuring a profit for themselves. This market, however, is driven purely by supply and demand – the collective wisdom of traders. While sportsbooks may initially set lines based on statistical models and expert opinions, this market can react more quickly to new information and changing sentiment, potentially revealing insights that differ from traditional betting lines. It’s often seen as a way to gauge true probabilities, unburdened by the need for a house edge.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official rushing yard totals for the Tennessee versus Indianapolis game are verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result will be based on the official statistics released by the NFL. The market will determine which contracts pay out based on whether the actual rushing yard total falls within the range represented by each contract. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct yardage range will receive a payout, while those holding contracts for incorrect ranges will not.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding injuries to key running backs on either the Tennessee or Indianapolis teams would be a major catalyst. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if heavy rain or snow is predicted, could also influence the rushing totals. Pre-game reports on defensive strategies and potential matchups could shift expectations. Finally, any late-breaking news about team personnel or coaching decisions could also lead to price movements in this market as traders adjust their assessments of the likely outcome.