What is the result of Tennessee vs Indianapolis?

Generally, prediction markets and sportsbooks often arrive at similar probabilities, but they gather information differently. Sportsbooks set their odds based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market reflects the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to be accurate. Discrepancies can arise due to differing opinions, information advantages held by traders, or simply variations in the modeling approaches. It's common to see this market incorporate news and insights faster than traditional sportsbooks, potentially leading to price differences. Examining these differences can provide valuable insights into market sentiment.

On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing different rushing yard totals. The price of a contract indicates the probability of the total rushing yards falling within the range represented by that contract. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust to reflect the evolving consensus. The market depth, visible on the dashboard, shows the volume of contracts available at various price points, indicating the strength of support and resistance for different outcomes.

This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The total official rushing yards from the Tennessee versus Indianapolis game, as reported by the NFL’s official statistics, will determine the final result. The market will settle to the value of 100 for the contract closest to, but not exceeding, the actual total rushing yards. Traders holding contracts corresponding to that range will receive a payout of 100 per contract, while those holding contracts for other ranges will not.

Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Injury reports for key running backs on either team are significant catalysts, as they directly impact expected rushing yardage. Weather conditions, particularly if rain or snow are forecast, could also shift the market, as inclement weather typically favors a passing game. Late-breaking news regarding coaching strategies or changes in offensive line personnel could also move prices. Finally, large volume trades from informed participants could signal a shift in market sentiment and trigger further price adjustments.