TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 3:43 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks how often specific players get the ball on the ground during an upcoming football game between Tennessee and Indianapolis. It focuses on whether star players reach certain thresholds of carries, reflecting their potential workload and usage in the matchup.
All markets resolve based on whether named players record a specified minimum number of rushing attempts in the Tennessee vs. Indianapolis game scheduled for October 18, 2026. If a player is active for the game but does not take a single snap, the market settles at its fair market price determined before kickoff. However, once a player takes at least one snap—even if that play is later nullified by a penalty—the market resolves strictly according to the actual rushing attempts recorded during the game. These rules apply uniformly across all outcome thresholds for both Jonathan Taylor and Tony Pollard, ensuring consistent evaluation regardless of the specific numerical target.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or when public opinion shifts. Examining these differences can be insightful, as prediction markets have sometimes been shown to be more accurate than traditional forecasts, though past performance isn’t indicative of future results.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final number of rushing attempts, as officially recorded by the NFL, will determine the winning contract. The resolution will be based on the official game statistics, ensuring a transparent and verifiable outcome. Traders should monitor official sources for the final count as the resolution date approaches, as this will determine the payout of their contracts.
Several factors could influence the price of contracts in this market. Injury reports for key running backs on either team would be a significant catalyst, as would changes in weather forecasts predicting rain or snow, which could affect play-calling strategies. Unexpected news regarding coaching decisions or offensive line changes could also shift expectations. Finally, any late-breaking information about team strategies or player availability could lead to increased trading activity and price fluctuations in this market.