TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 2:56 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the number of receptions specific players achieve in a football game between Tennessee and Indianapolis. Each market focuses on whether a player reaches a certain reception threshold, allowing participants to bet on player performance metrics.
All markets resolve based on the total number of receptions a specified player records in the Tennessee vs Indianapolis Pro Football game scheduled for Oct 18, 2026. If the player is active but does not take any snaps, the market settles at the fair market price before kickoff. Once the player takes at least one snap—even if the play is nullified by a penalty—the market resolves according to the actual number of receptions recorded during the game. Markets are independent, with each defining a different reception threshold (e.g., 2+, 3+, etc.) for the same player. No market is affiliated with or endorsed by the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines which are set by oddsmakers. Sportsbooks may initially incorporate biases or react quickly to news, while this market aggregates the views of many traders. Over time, the two may converge as more information becomes available and the event draws nearer. However, discrepancies can persist due to differing market participants and information processing. It's common to see this market offer a different perspective than traditional betting venues.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders set the odds by placing bids and asks, and the market price fluctuates based on supply and demand. As more trades occur, the price becomes a more accurate representation of the collective prediction. The current market price is driven by the expectations of those actively trading contracts.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final reception totals for the players in the Tennessee versus Indianapolis game will be used to determine the winning contracts. The resolution will be based on official statistics released by the NFL, ensuring a transparent and verifiable result. Traders will be able to see the final outcome and receive payouts based on their positions in the market.
Several factors could influence this market before resolution. Injury reports for key players on either team are significant, as they directly impact the likelihood of specific players accumulating receptions. Unexpected weather conditions, such as heavy rain or wind, could also affect passing game strategies and thus reception totals. Any major news regarding coaching decisions or changes in offensive schemes could also shift expectations. Finally, general shifts in public sentiment, even without concrete news, can influence trading activity and move the market.