TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 5:38 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks specific player performance metrics in an upcoming American football game, focusing on receiving yard thresholds. The outcome depends entirely on whether designated players achieve predetermined yardage levels during the match. All markets share uniform protection rules regarding partial game participation and injury adjustments.
All markets in this event share identical secondary rules governing contract resolution. Each contract is designated as 'protected,' meaning if the specified player participates in at least one play during the first half but none after halftime (including overtime), the contract resolves at the fair price established before the game starts—unless the player meets or exceeds the required receiving yards, in which case it settles based on actual performance. If the player participates in any play after the first half, the contract always settles based on actual statistics, irrespective of first-half involvement. Notably, injury status or being officially ruled out does not affect protection qualifications. Additionally, any play nullified by penalty before the snap does not count toward participation, and players who never participate are subject to the non-participation fair price rule. The protected designation exclusively applies to full-game contracts with 'above or at-least' payout criteria, and all statistics include overtime periods.
Generally, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines due to differing information and incentives. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and ensure profit, while this market allows traders to express their own probabilities. Over time, prediction markets have demonstrated a tendency to be more accurate than traditional polls or expert opinions. However, sportsbook odds can be a useful benchmark for understanding the broader market perception of the likely outcome of the Tennessee versus Indianapolis receiving yards total.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different receiving yardage ranges. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy contracts for a particular range, the price increases, indicating a higher perceived likelihood. Conversely, increased selling pressure lowers the price. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to efficiently aggregate information and reflect evolving expectations about the game.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final receiving yardage totals for the relevant players in the Tennessee versus Indianapolis game are verifiable from credible public reporting. The official NFL statistics will be used to determine the total receiving yards achieved, and the contracts will be settled accordingly. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct receiving yardage range will receive a payout, while those holding contracts for incorrect ranges will not.
Several factors could influence this market before resolution. News regarding player injuries to key receivers or the opposing team’s defensive strategies could significantly shift expectations. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly conditions expected to affect passing offenses, could also impact trading activity. Unexpected developments in team dynamics or coaching decisions might also play a role. Finally, any significant shifts in public sentiment or expert analysis regarding the game’s likely outcome could drive changes in the price of contracts within this market.