TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 6:48 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets track the performance of specific players in an upcoming football game between Tennessee and Indianapolis, focusing on how many receiving yards each player accumulates. The payout structure rewards higher yardage with progressively larger returns, creating a direct link between player performance and financial outcome.
Contracts in this event resolve based on the official receiving yards accumulated by designated players during the Tennessee vs Indianapolis Pro Football game scheduled for October 18, 2026. Each Yes contract pays out according to a tiered schedule that increases with every 10 receiving yards achieved, following a cubic scaling formula designed to reward higher performance levels more significantly. The payout formula calculates the return by applying a cubic function to the player's yardage, capped at $1.00 for maximum performance. No contracts pay the difference between $1.00 and the Yes payout, ensuring balanced risk-reward dynamics. Negative yardage results in zero payout for Yes contracts. All markets resolve to Yes upon official game completion, with Kalshi explicitly disclaiming any affiliation with the governing league or ownership of associated trademarks.
Typically, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, representing their profit margin. This market, driven by the collective wisdom of traders, aims to represent the true probability of different outcomes, although discrepancies can and do occur. Often, you'll find that this market's implied probabilities are more aligned with expert analysis and polls than traditional sportsbook lines, especially as new information becomes available. It's a valuable tool for comparing and contrasting viewpoints.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different receiving yardage totals. The price of each contract fluctuates based on supply and demand, reflecting the collective predictions of all participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This means the price isn't set by a single entity but emerges from the interactions of many individuals with differing opinions and information. As more traders participate, the price is expected to converge towards a more accurate representation of the likely outcome.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official receiving yardage statistics for the players in the Tennessee versus Indianapolis game are verifiable from credible public reporting. The final yardage totals, as reported by the official NFL statistics, will determine which contracts pay out and at what value. This ensures a transparent and objective resolution process based on established data sources. Traders will be able to view the final results on Kalshi following the conclusion of the game.
Several factors could significantly influence this market. Any news regarding injuries to key wide receivers or tight ends on either the Tennessee or Indianapolis teams would likely cause substantial price movements. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they predict heavy rain or strong winds, could also impact passing game expectations and, therefore, the market. Finally, late-breaking news about defensive matchups or coaching strategies could also shift trader sentiment and lead to fluctuations in contract prices. Monitoring these signals is key to understanding the dynamics of this market.