TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 4:17 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks passing yard thresholds for specific players in an upcoming football game between Tennessee and Indianapolis. The outcome depends on whether either player meets or exceeds their designated yardage mark during the contest. Markets resolve based on actual performance, with special provisions if a player is active but does not take any snaps.
All markets resolve based on the total passing yards accumulated by the specified player (Daniel Jones or Cam Ward) in the Tennessee vs Indianapolis Pro Football game scheduled for October 18, 2026. If the player records the exact threshold or more passing yards, the market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. If the player is active for the game but never takes a snap, the market settles at the fair market price determined before kickoff. Once the player takes at least one snap—even if the play is nullified by penalty—the market settles based on the actual passing yards recorded during the game. These rules apply uniformly across all threshold markets for each player.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. It’s common to see discrepancies, particularly before significant events or breaking news. While sportsbooks may adjust their odds based on betting patterns, this market continuously updates as new information and opinions emerge among traders. Comparing the two can offer a broader perspective on potential outcomes.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official passing yard statistics for the Tennessee vs Indianapolis game are verifiable from credible public reporting. The final passing yard total for each quarterback will be sourced from official NFL data and used to determine which contracts payout. Traders will be able to see the final result and any resulting payouts on Kalshi shortly after the game concludes and the official statistics are released.
Several factors could influence this market before it resolves. Any news regarding quarterback injuries to key players on either team would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest adverse conditions for passing, could also shift the market. Unexpected coaching decisions or strategic adjustments announced before the game could also impact trader sentiment. Finally, late-breaking news about player matchups or defensive schemes could lead to adjustments in the perceived probabilities of different passing yard outcomes.