TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 4:07 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the number of passing attempts made by specific quarterbacks in an upcoming football game between Tennessee and Indianapolis. The outcome depends on whether the chosen player meets or exceeds predetermined passing attempt thresholds during the contest.
All markets resolve based on whether the named quarterback records a specified minimum number of passing attempts in the Tennessee vs. Indianapolis game scheduled for October 18, 2026. If the quarterback is active for the game but does not take any snaps, the market settles at the fair market price determined before the game starts. Once the quarterback takes at least one snap—even if that play is nullified by a penalty—the market resolves strictly according to the actual passing attempts recorded during the game. These rules apply uniformly across all markets for both Daniel Jones and Cam Ward, each with distinct threshold values for resolution.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often proving more accurate than traditional sportsbook odds, particularly in the lead-up to an event. Sportsbooks may incorporate biases or seek to profit from public perception, whereas this market aggregates diverse opinions. However, it's important to note that sportsbooks and prediction markets operate with different incentives and risk models. Discrepancies can arise due to differing levels of information and varying participant motivations, but often, the prediction market odds offer a valuable alternative perspective.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the final passing attempts total from the Tennessee versus Indianapolis game will be used to determine the winning contract. The official game statistics, as reported by a trusted sports data provider, will serve as the basis for verification. Traders will be able to see the final result and any associated payouts following the official confirmation of the game's statistics.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. Any news regarding injuries to key quarterbacks or wide receivers on either team would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly those predicting adverse conditions, could also affect passing game strategies and, consequently, the market. Furthermore, late-breaking reports about team tactics or coaching decisions could sway trader sentiment. Unexpected shifts in public opinion, driven by expert analysis or social media trends, might also contribute to price movements in this market.