TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 4:12 PM EST
Kalshi
This market focuses on determining which team will score the most points specifically in the 4th quarter of an upcoming NFL game between Tennessee and Indianapolis. It highlights the importance of late-game performance, where momentum and strategy can dramatically shift the outcome of a single quarter.
If Indianapolis wins the 4th Quarter (excluding overtime) of the Tennessee vs Indianapolis Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 18, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Tennessee wins the 4th Quarter (excluding overtime) of the Tennessee vs Indianapolis Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 18, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If neither team wins the 4th Quarter (excluding overtime) of the Tennessee vs Indianapolis Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 18, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Generally, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often diverging from initial sportsbook lines as new information becomes available. Sportsbooks set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market incorporates the collective predictions of many individuals. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook has mispriced an outcome, they can influence the odds on Kalshi through their trading activity. This can lead to prediction market odds being more accurate, especially closer to the event, though discrepancies can still occur due to differing risk appetites and market participants.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the winner of the 4th quarter of the Tennessee versus Indianapolis game will determine the winning contract. The official game results, as reported by a trusted sports data source, will be used to verify the outcome. Trading will cease once the 4th quarter is complete, and the market will settle to 100 for the winning outcome and 0 for the losing outcome, reflecting the definitive result of the game.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either Tennessee or Indianapolis would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest conditions favoring one team's playing style, could also shift the odds. Furthermore, late-breaking news about coaching decisions or team strategies might influence trader sentiment. Even significant shifts in public opinion, as reflected in sports news and analysis, could contribute to changes in volume and price on Kalshi before the game concludes.