TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 3:37 PM EST
Kalshi
This market focuses on determining which team will score the most points in the third quarter of an upcoming football game between Tennessee and Indianapolis. It captures the competitive momentum during a specific segment of the match, offering insight into short-term performance rather than the overall result.
The market resolves based on which team scores the most points during the third quarter of the designated game. If one team outscores the other, that team's market resolves to Yes, and the other's resolves to No. If both teams score an equal number of points in the quarter, all team markets resolve to No, and the Tie market resolves to Yes. Only points scored during the third quarter count toward the outcome, and the market is independent of the final game result.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their money behind their beliefs. Frequently, prediction markets can be more accurate than traditional polls or even sportsbook lines, as traders have a financial incentive to be correct. However, sportsbook odds are readily available and provide a common benchmark for comparison, and can sometimes align closely with the probabilities seen here.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The team leading at the end of the 3rd quarter of the Tennessee vs Indianapolis game will be declared the winner of this market. Resolution will be based on the official game results as reported by a trusted sports data source. Traders will be able to see the final result and the payout of their contracts following the official confirmation of the 3rd quarter score.
Several factors could influence the trading activity and price movement in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team strategy, or even weather conditions could impact traders' perceptions of each team's chances. Unexpected performance in the first half of the game, or even pre-game analysis from sports commentators, could also shift the odds. Significant volume spikes, indicating large bets being placed, are another signal to watch. Ultimately, any information that alters the perceived probability of either team winning the 3rd quarter has the potential to move this market.